Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 2.190552 2.515318 2.874719 3.302463 3.798370 4.356026 5.031827
2025-05-25 1.631014 2.046642 2.551500 3.212128 4.057157 5.106311 6.514633
2025-06-01 1.381184 1.840307 2.434413 3.264070 4.400041 5.911417 8.092141
2025-06-08 1.216302 1.701419 2.362319 3.335805 4.745717 6.732562 9.778217
2025-06-15 1.073490 1.565103 2.264916 3.344002 4.984507 7.414639 11.342332
2025-06-22 0.939666 1.420312 2.131272 3.272529 5.083439 7.887497 12.638921
2025-06-29 0.837731 1.308315 2.029077 3.229328 5.210080 8.404856 14.060660
2025-07-06 0.747556 1.202680 1.922239 3.161390 5.281379 8.831838 15.377703
2025-07-13 0.717073 1.188172 1.956880 3.325829 5.754102 9.977950 18.092019
2025-07-20 0.660191 1.123064 1.899951 3.325709 5.938399 10.641356 20.019275
2025-07-27 0.627277 1.094818 1.901488 3.426269 6.311439 11.683741 22.800892
2025-08-03 0.585266 1.045911 1.861152 3.444813 6.531900 12.464394 25.174023
2025-08-10 0.538282 0.988475 1.808939 3.453972 6.773513 13.391778 28.158670
2025-08-17 0.481646 0.908023 1.707467 3.360394 6.810262 13.940653 30.499339
2025-08-24 0.450029 0.870998 1.683077 3.414831 7.154333 15.170628 34.560194
2025-08-31 0.424144 0.841904 1.670186 3.490092 7.551937 16.574477 39.285708
2025-09-07 0.394289 0.801209 1.628821 3.498691 7.803146 17.689563 43.530166
2025-09-14 0.359981 0.747383 1.553952 3.423707 7.852706 18.345418 46.749704
2025-09-21 0.331988 0.703814 1.495792 3.378386 7.964445 19.165386 50.555153
2025-09-28 0.304833 0.659115 1.430153 3.307117 8.002884 19.810098 54.015023
2025-10-05 0.298536 0.659875 1.465460 3.479625 8.672056 22.164061 62.749087
2025-10-12 0.280370 0.631746 1.431792 3.479499 8.899440 23.396588 68.483900
2025-10-19 0.270642 0.622089 1.439980 3.585006 9.420958 25.511683 77.341079